Monday, August 31, 2020

Newsletter Excerpt, August 31, 2020 -- "Deadline Day"

This is a preview of the Joe Sheehan Baseball Newsletter, an e-mail newsletter about all things baseball, featuring analysis and opinion about the game on and off the field from the perspective of the informed outsider. Joe Sheehan is a founding member of Baseball Prospectus and a contributor to Sports Illustrated and Baseball America. He has been writing about baseball for nearly 25 years.


Your subscription gets you the newsletter and various related features two to five days a week, more than 150 mailings (more than 200,000 words) a year full of smart, fun baseball writing that you can't find in the mainstream. Subscribers can also access the new Slack workspace, to talk baseball with me and hundreds of other Newsletter subscribers.

You can subscribe to the newsletter for one year for $49.95 using your PayPal account or major credit card.

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"There is some other stuff at work, though. Playoff rosters are going to be 28 men deep, and teams have just 40 men to play with. I’ve noted in some recent seasons that teams would sometimes have unreasonable pitcher/hitter splits in part because they couldn’t find 13 or 14 MLB-caliber hitters on their 40-man roster."

Thursday, August 27, 2020

Newsletter Excerpt, August 27, 2020 -- "AL 1, Chaos 0"

 

 This is a preview of the Joe Sheehan Baseball Newsletter, an e-mail newsletter about all things baseball, featuring analysis and opinion about the game on and off the field from the perspective of the informed outsider. Joe Sheehan is a founding member of Baseball Prospectus and a contributor to Sports Illustrated and Baseball America. He has been writing about baseball for nearly 25 years.


Your subscription gets you the newsletter and various related features two to five days a week, more than 150 mailings (more than 200,000 words) a year full of smart, fun baseball writing that you can't find in the mainstream. Subscribers can also access the new Slack workspace, to talk baseball with me and hundreds of other Newsletter subscribers.

You can subscribe to the newsletter for one year for $49.95 using your PayPal account or major credit card.

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"The expanded playoffs did not do the league any favors, not that the Covid Round was invented with the regular season in mind. Without the expansion, you would have a fantastic three team race in the AL Central, with good AL East and West races, and the very real possibility that those injury-plagued powers in Houston and the Bronx would miss the playoffs entirely."
 

Tuesday, August 25, 2020

Newsletter Excerpt, August 25, 2020 -- "The Angels"

 This is a preview of the Joe Sheehan Baseball Newsletter, an e-mail newsletter about all things baseball, featuring analysis and opinion about the game on and off the field from the perspective of the informed outsider. Joe Sheehan is a founding member of Baseball Prospectus and a contributor to Sports Illustrated and Baseball America. He has been writing about baseball for nearly 25 years.


Your subscription gets you the newsletter and various related features two to five days a week, more than 150 mailings (more than 200,000 words) a year full of smart, fun baseball writing that you can't find in the mainstream. Subscribers can also access the new Slack workspace, to talk baseball with me and hundreds of other Newsletter subscribers.

You can subscribe to the newsletter for one year for $49.95 using your PayPal account or major credit card.

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"My question is, where is this all going? The 2021 Angels look a lot like the 2020 Angels. Simmons can leave as a free agent, and Fletcher looks like a reasonable replacement for him. La Stella and Castro are also eligible to walk. The Angels will still owe Pujols and Upton $54 million between them, and are committed to $120 million to four guys before anyone else gets paid. Jo Adell will clearly be better than this, maybe Luis Rengifo takes the second-base job. I have no idea what Shohei Ohtani will be, but I would blindly bet 'injured' at this point and feel pretty good about my money. Their projected 2020 payroll was $184 million, and after a shortened season with no fans in the stands, that number isn’t going to rise."

Monday, August 24, 2020

Newsletter Excerpt, August 24, 2020 -- "Fun With Numbers: Calvinball!"

 

This is a preview of the Joe Sheehan Baseball Newsletter, an e-mail newsletter about all things baseball, featuring analysis and opinion about the game on and off the field from the perspective of the informed outsider. Joe Sheehan is a founding member of Baseball Prospectus and a contributor to Sports Illustrated and Baseball America. He has been writing about baseball for nearly 25 years.


Your subscription gets you the newsletter and various related features two to five days a week, more than 150 mailings (more than 200,000 words) a year full of smart, fun baseball writing that you can't find in the mainstream. Subscribers can also access the new Slack workspace, to talk baseball with me and hundreds of other Newsletter subscribers.

You can subscribe to the newsletter for one year for $49.95 using your PayPal account or major credit card.

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"Back-of-the-envelope math tells me that eventually around 20% of the 2020 baseball season will be played under Calvinball rules, maybe more. The Blue Jays have played 26 games, and nearly 40% of them have been non-standard. For the Phillies, it’s seven of 24; the Marlins, six of 22. The A’s are 5-0 in extra innings; the Jays are 3-5 -- eight ghost-runner-on-second games out of 26 total!  Just five National League teams are over .500 in games played under normal rules."

Thursday, August 20, 2020

Newsletter Excerpt, August 20, 2020 -- "More Pitch, Less Payoff"

 

This is a preview of the Joe Sheehan Baseball Newsletter, an e-mail newsletter about all things baseball, featuring analysis and opinion about the game on and off the field from the perspective of the informed outsider. Joe Sheehan is a founding member of Baseball Prospectus and a contributor to Sports Illustrated and Baseball America. He has been writing about baseball for nearly 25 years.


Your subscription gets you the newsletter and various related features two to five days a week, more than 150 mailings (more than 200,000 words) a year full of smart, fun baseball writing that you can't find in the mainstream. Subscribers can also access the new Slack workspace, to talk baseball with me and hundreds of other Newsletter subscribers.

You can subscribe to the newsletter for one year for $49.95 using your PayPal account or major credit card.

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'Machado’s heroics notwithstanding, MLB hitters are hitting worse on 3-2 than in any season for which we have data, and the three worst seasons on record are the last three. Contrast that to the first years of the data set, when hitter performance in 3-2 counts was as good as it would ever be again. 1988, 1989, and 1990 rank 3-4-5 in tOPS+ by hitters in 3-2 counts for the 33 seasons under discussion."

Tuesday, August 18, 2020

Newsletter Excerpt, August 18, 2020 -- "Tarik Skubal Day!"

 

This is a preview of the Joe Sheehan Baseball Newsletter, an e-mail newsletter about all things baseball, featuring analysis and opinion about the game on and off the field from the perspective of the informed outsider. Joe Sheehan is a founding member of Baseball Prospectus and a contributor to Sports Illustrated and Baseball America. He has been writing about baseball for nearly 25 years.


Your subscription gets you the newsletter and various related features two to five days a week, more than 150 mailings (more than 200,000 words) a year full of smart, fun baseball writing that you can't find in the mainstream. Subscribers can also access the new Slack workspace, to talk baseball with me and hundreds of other Newsletter subscribers.

You can subscribe to the newsletter for one year for $49.95 using your PayPal account or major credit card.

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"As I keep saying, this isn’t the season to call the sample-size police. The Tigers are a game out of a playoff berth with 40 games left, and that’s the time to make the team as good as you possibly can and hope to get a little lucky. Maybe Isaac Paredes -- called up with Skubal and Mize -- can provide a desperately needed OBP boost. Maybe the much-improved defense is for real, with Jones in center every day, Jonathan Schoop at second, and Nicholas Castellanos in Cincinnati. There are reasons to believe, and in 2020, isn’t that enough for a fan base?"