Saturday, June 13, 2026

Joe Sheehan Newsletter, June 13, 2026 -- "Nobody Touches The Miz"

 

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The Joe Sheehan Newsletter: Nobody Touches The Miz
Vol. 18, No. 45
June 13, 2026

A few weeks back, I did a riff on signature significance in a Lifetime piece:

Does one incredible performance carry so much meaning it can change your view of the player? What [Reid] Detmers did last night is more common than it was for most of baseball history -- twice this year, 17 times this decade, 73 this century...after just 54 occurrences prior to 2001. More teams, more games, and many more strikeouts.

Does it have signature significance any more? Emerson Hancock did in earlier this month. Triston McKenzie did it once, Andrew Heaney, Dan Straily, Brad Penny. It’s not unheard of for a good pitcher at his peak to have a day like this. Work your way down the list, though, and there are a lot of bold-faced names. deGrom, Cole, Strasburg, Scherzer, Verlander. Even the next tier down is Burnes, Bieber, Glasnow, Sale. Sandy Alcantara and Spencer Strider and Walker Buehler all did it at their peaks.

Raising the bar to 15 strikeouts clears a lot of chaff -- 56 occurrences and a lot of bronze, but still...Chris Archer, Michael Pineda, Sterling Hitchcock. Draw the line at 16, and it’s mostly guys you’ve heard of...and Vince Velasquez, somehow. So Velasquez notwithstanding, I think a start of 16 strikeouts with no walks is where we draw the line for signature significance. If I know nothing other than that about you, I can probably surmise you are a great pitcher.

Maybe 15 isn’t such a bad number after all. Maybe “15 strikeouts, no walks” has signature significance when you pair it with numbers like “104.5” -- the fastest pitch ever recorded by a starter --- and “95” -- the number of pitches thrown. Maybe what Jacob Misiorowski did last night, erasing the Phillies from the map, stands on its own as an indication of true greatness. But for a Kyle Schwarber first-pitch line-drive single in the fourth, we could be talking today about the greatest pitching performance ever.

As is stands, it’s in the picture. Game Score, a Bill James invention, grades a pitcher’s start based on the box-score line.

Best Ever? (Highest Game Score, nine innings or fewer)

Kerry Wood       CHC    5/6/98    105
Max Scherzer     WAS   10/3/15    104
Clayton Kershaw  LAD   6/18/14    102
Matt Cain        SFG   6/13/12    101
Sandy Koufax     LAD    9/9/65    101
Nap Rucker       BRO    9/5/08*   101
Nolan Ryan       TEX    5/1/91    101
Ten tied with                     100

*1908

(The “nine innings” restriction is necessary because the highest Game Scores all come from a time when starters were allowed to pitch forever. Sixty-two pitchers have a Game Score of at least 106, seven hit 120, the record is 153.)


Misiorowski’s Game Score of 100 is tied for the eighth-highest of all time. You know most of the others. Kerry Wood’s 20-strikeout game, perfectos by Matt Cain and Sandy Koufax, the last no-hitter Nolan Ryan ever threw. Old friend Marty Lurie might have been at that Nap Rucker game, I’ll have to check.

I’m not sure this list gets at what Misiorowski did last night. There was a ruthlessness to him that called to mind the way Pedro Martinez wiped out lineups at his peak. He struck out the side in the first on 13 pitches, 11 of them four-seam fastballs, none of them at less than 102 mph. Sit with that for a second. There was a time, in the life of this Newsletter, that a 102-mph fastball would have caused us to gasp, to yelp, to post, even. Last night, it was Misiorowski’s let-up pitch. He walked off the mound after one inning, and watching him you had that sense, deep in your baseball brain, that this wasn’t going to be an ordinary night.

It was not. Misiorowski would throw 69 four-seam fastballs, and every single one was tracked at at least 100 mph. He averaged 102.6 mph on his fastball in the ninth inning, which would get our attention if it were Mason Miller or Aroldis Chapman...except Misiorowski started the ninth at 86 pitches rather than zero. On this night, Misiorowski was his own fire-breathing closer. His final pitch of the game, his 95th, was a 103-mph fastball. I can hardly believe my own words. It sounds like I’m trying to slip Sidd Finch 2.0 past you, maybe pitching a Netflix series about Henry Rowengartner’s grandson. 

Misiorowski, though, is real. He leads MLB in ERA and FIP and strikeouts. After last night, he has one of the league’s five shutouts and its eight complete games. Batters are hitting .140/.216/.194 against him. The record for lowest batting average allowed in a season of at least 100 innings pitched is .165, set by Misiorowski’s former teammate, Freddy Peralta, in 2021. The record for a qualified starter is .167, set by Pedro Martinez in 2000. Batters will have to hit about .200 off Misiorowski the rest of the way to push him over that figure, and that just doesn’t seem possible. 

I want to see how the Brewers handle Misiorowski the rest of the way. They’ve been pretty conservative with all their starters in the David Stearns/Matt Arnold era. Misiorowski threw 97 innings in 2024, 141 last year, and my working assumption has been that they would aim for 170 or so this year, which would leave about 85 innings left. The Brewers, though, plan to play for seven months, not six, so they need to be thinking about October already. That 170 is my projection, not theirs, but I just don’t think they’ll want him heading towards and past 200 innings during a playoff run. It’s why, talking to Gill Alexander on VSIN, I said I thought Cristopher Sanchez should be a bigger favorite for the NL Cy Young Award, as he’s just more likely to stay in the rotation all season than Misiorowski or Chase Burns is.

Misiorowski is tempering some of those concerns with his efficiency. He’s cut his walk rate from 11% to 7%, and as we saw last night, has learned he can pour his fastball into the zone without much fear. Just three pitchers have thrown their fastball in the strike zone more than Misiorowski has, and when he does, batters hit .172 and slug .228. Among qualified starters, Misiorowski is eighth in pitches per inning pitched, one of a dozen under 15 P/IP.

Velocity. Control. Efficiency. Unhittability. It all came together on a Friday night in Milwaukee. Jacob Misiorowski gave us a night to remember. I can’t wait to see him do it again.

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Friday, June 12, 2026

Newsletter Excerpt, June 12, 2026 -- "Potpourri"

 

This is a preview of the Joe Sheehan Baseball Newsletter, an e-mail newsletter about all things baseball, featuring analysis and opinion about the game on and off the field from the perspective of the informed outsider.

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Neck-stepping time? (Remix) Braves at Mets. The Mets are in last place, 15 games behind the Braves, and pretty much need to sweep here to have any hope of chasing the Bravos down. They catch the Braves down Ronald Acuña Jr. and Drake Baldwin. Frankly, the Braves have a lot of waiver bait in their lineup most nights, and that’s not counting Austin Riley, declining for a third straight season at age 29. Still, just avoiding a sweep at Citi Field could limit the Mets to a wild-card chase.

Two years ago today, the Mets were also eight games under .500 at 29-37, 17 1/2 games out of first. They closed 60-36 and got to within two wins of the World Series. It’s a very long season.
 
 
 

Wednesday, June 10, 2026

Newsletter Excerpt, June 10, 2026 -- "No Country for Old Men"

 

This is a preview of the Joe Sheehan Baseball Newsletter, an e-mail newsletter about all things baseball, featuring analysis and opinion about the game on and off the field from the perspective of the informed outsider.

You can subscribe to the newsletter for one year for $79.95 using your PayPal account or major credit card. (Zelle users, please email me for details.)

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Look around the league. You can’t swing a stick without seeing a veteran collapsing at 32 or 33. Jake Cronenworth, 32, is hitting .144/.272/.196. Trevor Story, 33, was at .206/.244/.303 when he got hurt. Dansby Swanson and Corey Seager are both under a 90 OPS+ at 32. Mookie Betts slipped a year ago at 32 and now, at 33, is hitting .190/.259/.365. Manny Machado is also 33 and hitting .171/.253/.342. You don’t want to ask how much longer any of these players’ contracts run.

Baseball, more than ever before, is about raw physical talent. How hard can you throw it, how fast can you spin it, how quickly can you get your bat to it, how far can you hit it? A game that had, for more than a century, plenty of room for nuance now has very little. Hitters who could adapt to declining hand-eye coordination and reaction time now find themselves with no room to maneuver. The pitchers are just too good, they’re too well-trained, they’re too able to expend every ounce of energy on every pitch, with durability no longer part of the job.

 
 
 

Monday, June 8, 2026

Newsletter Excerpt, June 8, 2026 -- "Not cRISP Baseball"

This is a preview of the Joe Sheehan Baseball Newsletter, an e-mail newsletter about all things baseball, featuring analysis and opinion about the game on and off the field from the perspective of the informed outsider.

You can subscribe to the newsletter for one year for $79.95 using your PayPal account or major credit card. (Zelle users, please email me for details.)

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Scoring runs is a bit about performing in RISP situations, but it’s more about creating them. The Cubs (tenth in R/G) are second in baseball in plate appearances with runners in scoring position, behind only the Pirates (sixth). The Brewers (third), Nationals (first), and Twins (ninth) round out the top five. If you keep generating these opportunities by getting runners into scoring position, you’re going to score runs, even when it doesn’t feel like it. At the bottom of the list in PA with RISP, you have the Padres (last in R/G), Phillies (25th), Mets (23rd), Rangers (26th), and Tigers (28th). 
 
 

 

Friday, June 5, 2026

Newsletter Excerpt, June 5, 2026 -- "White Socking"

 

This is a preview of the Joe Sheehan Baseball Newsletter, an e-mail newsletter about all things baseball, featuring analysis and opinion about the game on and off the field from the perspective of the informed outsider.

You can subscribe to the newsletter for one year for $79.95 using your PayPal account or major credit card. (Zelle users, please email me for details.)

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Twenty-nine players came to the plate for the 2024 White Sox; just three have played for this year’s squad, and one of those, Lenyn Sosa, was traded in early April. That turnover, a mix of trades, free-agent signings, and player development, has produced a top-five offense by weighted on-base average with one of the youngest lineups in the game. The team’s top six players by Baseball Reference WAR are all 26 and younger. Munetaka Murakami, whose two-year, $34-million contract seemed like an indictment of his skills, has turned out to be a huge win for the Sox with a .240/.378/.560 line and 20 homers. Miguel Vargas, acquired from the Dodgers in ’24, has finally broken out with a .242/.368/.502 line and an exceptional 45/40 K/BB. The team is 25-15 when 2024 fifth-rounder Sam Antonacci and his .383 OBP are in the lineup. Just two seasons after posting that .278 OBP, the Sox are eighth in baseball with a .325 mark. 
 
 

Tuesday, June 2, 2026

Newsletter Excerpt, June 2, 2026 -- "It Begins"

 

This is a preview of the Joe Sheehan Baseball Newsletter, an e-mail newsletter about all things baseball, featuring analysis and opinion about the game on and off the field from the perspective of the informed outsider.

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There’s no midpoint between these two offers because they’re on different axes. The average of 26 and a Volkswagen is a lockout. The owners have gone to the mattresses over a payroll cap only once, back in 1994. Doing so cost us all a World Series, and the owners botched their labor strategy so badly the entire system was thrown out in court. Ever since then, though, they’ve slowly gained the upper hand over the market for players, and the current system -- the one they’re trying to throw out -- is the best for MLB owners since 1975.