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"The gap in the two returns for Chapman are an indication of how much has changed in MLB front offices since 2016. That trade, in fact, may have ended an era in which teams gave up top prospects for players with a year or less of control remaining. You can still get good returns at the deadline, as the Nationals have done in tearing down their roster by trading Trea Turner and Juan Soto, you just have to do it before the talent you have reaches its walk year. Look at what the Reds got for Luis Castillo, the Orioles for Jorge Lopez. Teams have all come around to the idea that rentals like Chapman, like Andrew Benintendi in 2022, like Kris Bryant in 2021, aren’t worth moving top prospects for."