This is an excerpt from the Joe Sheehan Baseball Newsletter, an e-mail newsletter about all things baseball, featuring analysis and opinion about the game on and off the field from the perspective of the informed outsider. Joe Sheehan is a founding member of Baseball Prospectus and a contributor to Sports Illustrated and Baseball America. He has been writing about baseball for more than 20 years.
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"I can build a case for the Jays as a surprise team. There’s some talent here, and in a different competitive context, I might be arguing that Rogers Corporation is going cheap and not adding to a good team. In the AL, and specifically the AL East, it does the Jays no good to build an 85-win team that has upside. At best, they’d be playing for a spot in the wild-card game, and at that, behind the Rays, Angels, A’s, and probably Twins in doing so."