Friday, September 20, 2019

Newsletter Excerpt, September 20, 2019 -- "The Jack Flaherty Game"

This is a preview of the Joe Sheehan Baseball Newsletter, an e-mail newsletter about all things baseball, featuring analysis and opinion about the game on and off the field from the perspective of the informed outsider. Joe Sheehan is a founding member of Baseball Prospectus and a contributor to Sports Illustrated and Baseball America. He has been writing about baseball for nearly 25 years.

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"The Cardinals are exactly what they look like. Their third-order record matches their real record exactly. I projected them to go 91-71, they’re on pace to go...91-71. They’ve been a disappointing offensive team -- tenth in runs, ninth in wRC+ -- and a middling pitching one (seventh in FIP) that has been saved by a strong defense (third in DER). They’ve gained some runs by stealing bases well (79%) and, by 2019 standards, often (111, first in the NL). In the year of the dinger, they’ve allowed the fewest homers in baseball thanks to both a high groundball rate (45.2%, fourth-highest in the NL) and low HR/FB (14.4%, fourth-lowest)."