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"The Rangers aren’t a fluke. Their record to date is backed up by their underlying performance, with the second-best third-order record in the AL. They’ve seen some real improvement from prime-age hitters, and their main weakness, starting depth, hasn’t been exposed yet. That expected one-run regression has happened -- they’re 4-5 in one-run games -- but it’s the small total that is notable. Good teams don’t play one-run games; they blow their opponents out. That’s what the Rangers have done, with 16 blowout wins (+5 runs or more) accounting for a third of their games. The offense is going to have to carry this show for four more months for the Rangers to get back to the playoffs for the first time since 2016."