Friday, May 12, 2023

Newsletter Excerpt, May 12, 2023 -- "Death Rays"

This is a preview of the Joe Sheehan Baseball Newsletter, an e-mail newsletter about all things baseball, featuring analysis and opinion about the game on and off the field from the perspective of the informed outsider. Joe Sheehan is a founding member of Baseball Prospectus and has been a contributor to Sports Illustrated and Baseball America. He has been writing about baseball for 25 years.

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"Getting to 31-9 is a separator. Of the 12 teams to start the season playing .775 ball or better through 40 games, seven won the World Series, including the ’84 Tigers and ’98 Yankees. That 58% hit rate drops to 33% for the 30-10 teams and 28% for the 29-11 teams. This is trivia more than anything else -- there’s no meaningful difference in those three records -- but the gap is wide enough that you can see some signal there if you want."