Monday, November 30, 2020

Newsletter Excerpt, November 30, 2020 -- "Random Player Comments, 11/30/20"


This is a preview of the Joe Sheehan Baseball Newsletter, an e-mail newsletter about all things baseball, featuring analysis and opinion about the game on and off the field from the perspective of the informed outsider. Joe Sheehan is a founding member of Baseball Prospectus and a contributor to Sports Illustrated and Baseball America. He has been writing about baseball for nearly 25 years.

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"Ozuna caught pretty unlucky here. He bet on himself by taking the one-year pillow contract, went out and had a monster season in the games that were played, and now is a free agent again in the worst player market since collusion. He is the type of player -- age 30, bat-first, unlikely to ever repeat his last season -- I would normally avoid. Ozuna’s 2020 batting line, though, isn’t as out of context as it looks at baseball-reference. He is likely a .280/.340/.490 hitter in 2021 and maybe for a couple years after that. We talk a lot about pitchers who are either hurt or good, and Ozuna may be the position-player analogue to that. The number of teams that could use a pure bat is unusually high for a high-offense era like this, but when you look at how little teams like the Rangers, Indians, Brewers and Rockies got from their left fielders last year, the market for Ozuna on a three-yearish deal should be strong."