Friday, March 28, 2014

Excerpt: "An Ugly 2013 Report Card"

"The best prediction I made was on the Rangers, who were +97 (728 RS, 631 RA) where I had them at +102, but I was way off on the totals (833/731). The only real success here was the Reds. I was off on their run differential by 12 runs, and pretty close on the runs scored (698 actual, 706 projected) and allowed (589/609). I did all right on the Dodgers (649/582 actual, 637/591 projected). I missed by 100 runs of differential or more on more than half the league, and that's just unacceptable. I understand why I missed by 192 runs on the Red Sox, but that doesn't make it easier to see that number on the spreadsheet."