This is a preview of the Joe Sheehan Baseball Newsletter, an e-mail newsletter about all things baseball, featuring analysis and opinion about the game on and off the field from the perspective of the informed outsider. Joe Sheehan is a founding member of Baseball Prospectus and a contributor to Sports Illustrated and Baseball America. He has been writing about baseball for nearly 25 years.
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"The Braves aren’t the Cubs in a more important way. The latter was near the bottom of MLB in production against fastballs, actually losing ground against them. The Braves were the very best team in baseball against heaters. Marlins hurlers threw the seventh-highest rate of fastballs in baseball, with Alcantara near 60% and Pablo Lopez at 55%. If Trevor Rogers gets tabbed for a start, he’ll bring a 60% fastball usage rate to the mound. If the Cubs were the best possible matchup for the Marlins, the Braves are the worst. The Marlins held the Cubs to one run in two games, and the Braves might beat that in the bottom of the first this afternoon.