This is a preview of the Joe Sheehan Baseball Newsletter, an e-mail newsletter about all things baseball, featuring analysis and opinion about the game on and off the field from the perspective of the informed outsider. Joe Sheehan is a founding member of Baseball Prospectus and a contributor to Sports Illustrated and Baseball America. He has been writing about baseball for nearly 25 years.
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"The Nationals won a one-run game in which the Astros got 50% more baserunners, forced Max Scherzer out of the game after five innings, ate the game’s worst call, and made the game’s worst unforced error. I think if you play last night’s game 100 times, the Astros probably do no worse than 55-45.
"Nothing I saw last night moved me off the Astros winning this series. They laid off a ton of Scherzer’s breaking stuff, forcing him to throw 38 two-strike pitches and consistently getting into deep counts, even after starting from behind. Given one crack at the soft half of the Nationals’ staff, they got a homer and two walks while making one out."