Wednesday, July 5, 2023

Newsletter Excerpt, July 5, 2023 -- "Expectations"

This is a preview of the Joe Sheehan Baseball Newsletter, an e-mail newsletter about all things baseball, featuring analysis and opinion about the game on and off the field from the perspective of the informed outsider.

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"More than half the league is within five wins of their pro-rated projected record, which is the range inside which variance can explain most differences. In addition to the Cubs, the Yankees and Rockies are exactly where they’re supposed to be. Some teams that feel like disappointments, like the Astros, Phillies, and Guardians, are within three games of my projection, basically a rounding error. Anchoring the evaluation of a team’s performance to a hard number helps to put performance in perspective."