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There are some reasons to believe. Expected stats are a bit of a mess, but at least the ordering should be alright, and they show that the Orioles deserve much more from their batted balls (.245 xBA, .420 xSLG) than they have gotten (.226 and .381). On the pitching side, they’re getting a bit unlucky when their opponents get a hold of one. The average barreled baseball produces a .669 BA and a 2.211 SLG. Orioles opponents have hit .759 with a 2.634 SLG, figures that are second-highest and highest in baseball. The Orioles have also allowed a disproportionate number of their baserunners to score. This is a bad pitching staff, just maybe not as bad as it has looked.
